11
Lord Des Sources
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | Le Mans | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Argentan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-15 | Cordemais | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 11-14 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/02/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 06/03/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/07/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/04/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |