10
Luther
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 29/12/2025 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/08/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |