3
Kaid Fortuna
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#16
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-11 | Mauquenchy | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 21/05/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/09/2025 | 16th | 5/1 | 74% | 12% | -0.62 |
| 09/12/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 26/12/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |