5
Kantaro Du Tresor
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 02/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 23/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |