6

Karaly

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#3

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/08/2023 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13222/08C?C0 @ Vire 12/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 139C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 21/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 13921/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 139C0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 1438/06C?C0 @ Caen 19/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 139C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1257/07C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 1433/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-Lomagne?3rd3rd0
2026-07-07Cabourg?10th10th0
2026-03-16Caen?0
2025-06-19Caen?1st1st0
2025-06-08Lisieux?2nd2nd0
2025-05-02Saint Brieuc?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0826/107/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20237th14/126%57%+0.31
12/06/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
21/07/20242nd3/184%92%+0.07
26/10/20242nd11/486%94%+0.08
08/06/20252nd7/282%92%+0.10
19/06/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
07/07/202610th18/15%36%+0.30
03/09/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38