6

Karaly
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-19 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Lisieux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Saint Brieuc | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2023 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 12/06/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 94% | +0.08 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 19/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |