16

Kentucky Wood
6yo Horse · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-19 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 19/09/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 19/12/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |