4

King Of Race
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 7 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Amiens | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 31/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 21/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |