8
Kolmi Des Epines
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 26/10/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 23/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |