9
Ksar Unick
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Longvillers - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 14th | 16th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/02/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/08/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |