5
Dadio
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 49
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |