6
Sawyer's Song
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 56
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 4f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 42/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |