Girvy Girl

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 9 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 8 - White Clay Creek Stakes · 1m

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ AHEAD OF MARK

Move▼1

Strength27%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.1

Today:

Class gap: +1.4

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-05	Saratoga	?	6th	1st	+4	9.2
2026-07-18	Gulfstream	?	1st	3rd	−2	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength17%

Delivery trend -34.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/07/2026	1st	4/6	96%	100%	+0.04
05/09/2026	6th	10/1	47%	17%	-0.31