IvyArcIvyArc
3

Atraxa

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 29

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Fairmount Park 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 27 · 6f 120 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 27 par13/09C9OR 27C9 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 34 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 34 parC9 @ Hawthorne 19/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 33 · 5f Gd 121 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 33 par19/10C9OR 33C9 @ Hawthorne 30/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 32 · 6f 121 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 32 parC9 @ Hawthorne 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 22 · 5f Fas 125 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 22 par26/04C9OR 22C9 @ Hawthorne 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 31 · 5f110y Fas 125 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 31 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 23 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 23 par14/07C9OR 23C9 @ Fairmount Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 30 · 6f 126 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 30 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 29 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 29 par19/09C9OR 29projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-08-01Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Hawthorne?5th5th0
2026-04-26Hawthorne?5th5th0
2025-10-30Hawthorne?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0930/1014/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 39/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20252nd1/195%75%-0.20
04/10/20255th6/492%20%-0.72
19/10/20256th33/10%29%+0.29
30/10/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
26/04/20265th9/153%0%-0.53
10/05/20265th20/10%0%0.00
14/07/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
01/08/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
19/09/20264th15/261%50%-0.11