1
Cupie Cutie
7yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 34
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-24 | Louisiana Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Louisiana Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2022 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 25/08/2022 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 20/05/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 24/06/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 13/03/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |