9

Enchanted Moment

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 40

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 36 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 36 par9/09C6OR 36C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 36 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 36 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 41 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 41 par21/10C6OR 41C6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 33 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 33 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 35 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 35 par26/05C6OR 35C6 @ Fairmount Park 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 37 · 5f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 37 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 38 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 38 par7/07C6OR 38C6 @ Fairmount Park 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m70y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 40 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 41 · 1m70y 126 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 41 par15/09C9OR 41projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-28Fairmount Park?4th1st+3
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-16Fairmount Park?6th3rd+3
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?4th1st+3
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/095/057/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
04/10/20254th25/10%63%+0.63
21/10/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
05/05/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
26/05/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
16/06/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
07/07/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
28/07/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
15/09/20263rd5/696%71%-0.24