11
Libby Loo
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 11 · OR 110
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |