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10

Maya's Warrior

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 31

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 12/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 23 · 5f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 23 par12/08C6OR 23C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 91 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 102 · 6f 120 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 102 par18/10C9OR 102C9 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 17 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 17 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 102 · 6f 121 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 102 par23/06C9OR 102C9 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 19 · 6f 126 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 19 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 25 · 6f 121 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 25 par4/08C9OR 25C9 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 25 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 25 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 26 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 26 par19/09C9OR 26projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-08-04Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-06-23Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0823/054/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
04/10/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
18/10/20252nd4/179%50%-0.29
23/05/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
23/06/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
18/07/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
04/08/20266th66/10%44%+0.44
18/08/20266th9/153%0%-0.53
19/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18