Show Me The Light
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 32
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-11-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-08-01 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-07-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/09/2024 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/11/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |