8
This Is Gloria
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 40
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/09/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/9 | 99% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |