3
Our Heavenly Gift
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-01-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2024 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 06/12/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/12/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/01/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |