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Stronger Together
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |