Wayllen Richard
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 70
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |