3
Bandolero
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |