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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 63

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Fairmount Park 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f 12023/06C9C9 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 49 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 49 par14/07C9OR 49C9 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par1/09C9OR 55projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?3rd4th−1
2026-06-23Fairmount Park?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0614/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
14/07/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
01/09/20261st4/998%100%+0.02