5
Best Dressed Man
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 39
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 16/10/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |