7
I Got The Moves
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 58
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |