4
Wolf Hunter
6yo Horse · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |