4
Gio Linh
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |