Ladies Legacy

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 48

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#10

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 6

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Fairmount Park	?	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-08-25	Fairmount Park	?	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-08-04	Fairmount Park	?	9th	7th	+2	3.4
2026-07-07	Fairmount Park	?	1st	-1th	+2	5.0
2026-06-16	Fairmount Park	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2025-10-25	Fairmount Park	?	9th	7th	+2	2.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 39/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▬

Strength16%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/10/2025	9th	8/1	58%	0%	-0.58
16/06/2026	5th	33/1	0%	56%	+0.56
07/07/2026	1st	12/1	37%	100%	+0.63
04/08/2026	9th	12/1	37%	27%	-0.10
25/08/2026	8th	20/1	0%	22%	+0.22
15/09/2026	7th	12/1	37%	25%	-0.12