5
Miss Savannah
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 56
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |