1
Safecracker Sue
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 50
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |