Spicy Cantaloupe
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 7 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-07-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |