Tizswiftysmusic
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 44
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |