3

Trinitythreeinone

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 42

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Hawthorne 14/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 47 · 7f110y Gd 120 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 47 par14/08C9OR 47C9 @ Hawthorne 31/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 55 · 1m 120 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 55 parC8 @ Hawthorne 11/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 63 par11/09C8OR 63C8 @ Hawthorne 28/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 7f110y Fm 121 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 68 parC8 @ Hawthorne 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 55 · 7f110y 123 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 55 par14/05C8OR 55C8 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 52 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 52 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 28/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 54 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 54 par28/07C6OR 54C8 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 43 · 1m 124 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 43 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 47 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 47 par12/09C8OR 47projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Fairmount Park?8th8th0
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-07-28Fairmount Park?7th5th+2
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-14Hawthorne?5th5th0
2025-09-28Hawthorne?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0828/0928/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength8%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20253rd12/137%67%+0.30
31/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
11/09/20254th8/158%50%-0.08
28/09/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
14/05/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
07/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
28/07/20267th25/10%0%0.00
18/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
12/09/20268th25/10%0%0.00