7
Cutlass King
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 81/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 4/7 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |