Layton The Day
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 70
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |