Seminole Beach
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 26/04/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |