Whiskeyinateacup
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |