Xavi
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 76
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/01/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |