9

Zoombie

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 86

Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 93 · 5f110y Gd 124 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 93 par16/10C8OR 93C8 @ Hawthorne 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Turfway Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 94 par26/12C8OR 94C8 @ Turfway Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 97 · 6f 120 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 97 parC7 @ Turfway Park 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 96 · 5f 121 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 96 par14/03C7OR 96C7 @ Fairmount Park 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Fas 126 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 88 · 5f110y 126 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 88 par23/05C7OR 88C7 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 6f 126 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 93 par11/08C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-04-14Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-03-14Turfway Park?1st1st0
2026-02-06Turfway Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/106/0223/0511/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
30/10/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
26/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
06/02/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
14/03/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
14/04/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
23/05/20264th1/195%25%-0.70
04/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
11/08/20267th9/153%25%-0.28