7
Delong Shot
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 57
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |