1
Stormy Attack
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 36
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength27%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |