8
Will Conquer
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 46
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |