7
Hunts Promise
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |