8
Ima Chunky Monkey
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 58
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 02/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |