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6

Joewilly

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 72

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 01/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 71 par1/05C9OR 71C9 @ Oaklawn Park 01/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f 124 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 71 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 70 · 6f 124 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 70 par8/02C9OR 70C9 @ Oaklawn Park 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 69 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 70 par7/03C9OR 70C9 @ Oaklawn Park 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f 124 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 69 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 6f 124 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 69 par10/04C9OR 69C9 @ Oaklawn Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 6f 124 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Remington Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 76 par23/08C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Remington Park?7th7th0
2026-05-02Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1
2026-04-10Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1
2026-03-26Oaklawn Park?4th5th−1
2026-03-07Oaklawn Park?6th7th−1
2026-02-19Oaklawn Park?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0519/0210/0423/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20256th5/174%29%-0.45
01/01/202612th9/488%0%-0.88
08/02/20263rd5/287%82%-0.05
19/02/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
07/03/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
26/03/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
10/04/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
02/05/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06
23/08/20267th9/276%25%-0.51