5
Regained Power
4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 55
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |