11
Street Style
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 11 · OR 62
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |