12
Bilderberg
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 12 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-01-23 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 37/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/12/2024 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 23/01/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/02/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |