11
Govenor Hank
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 11 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 78/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength4%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 29/12/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |